Mr. Silver, who first made his name as the designer of a well-regarded method for predicting baseball statistics, said his site received more than one million page views per day, despite having just been unveiled this year.
[...]
“We don’t try and say, there’s a 37 percent chance Osama bin Laden will send another message this October,” Mr. Silver said. “We do account for general uncertainty.”
[...]
Dick Bennett, at the American Research Group, was even blunter. “He hasn’t been able to predict the future,” Mr. Bennett said. “If he did, he would have been able to predict who’d win in June.”
Pretty impressive hit count. Dick Bennett... what? That is what Nate's thing is all about. That's why he has a projection line and a trend line. As you get closer and closer to Nov. 4, the chances that the latest polls disagree with the result decrease. The June comment is just retarded.
